Forecasting the outcome of every game on Michigan’s 2024 football calendar
Michigan is heading into a landmark 2024 football season as the reigning national champions for the first time since 1997. However, the Wolverines will start their title defense with a significantly altered team due to changes in both the roster and the coaching staff.
With the Big Ten expanding to 18 teams and the College Football Playoff increasing to 12 teams, the competition is expected to be more intense. Using ESPN’s power index analytics model, here are some early predictions for Michigan’s games this fall.
Fresno State Michigan is a strong favorite against Fresno State, a team that won nine games last season and returns its starting quarterback along with much of its offense. However, Michigan is expected to have an advantage against Fresno’s defensive line.
Texas This game presents a major challenge at home against the Longhorns, who are heading to the SEC and feature dangerous offensive threats like quarterback Quinn Ewers. It will be a significant test for Michigan’s defense.
Arkansas State Michigan is heavily favored in this matchup against a team that had a weak defense last season, allowing over 31 points per game and giving up 70 points in a game against Oklahoma.
USC Michigan has favorable odds against the Trojans, a new member of the Big Ten, and is a solid favorite at home. However, if USC manages to improve its defense, this game could become more competitive.
Minnesota The Gophers are changing their defensive strategy and quarterback, aiming to improve an offense that struggled last season. Michigan is expected to have the upper hand in this game.
at Washington Michigan faces a lower chance of winning in this road game against a Huskies team with a new coach and many new players after losing key talent from last season.
at Illinois Illinois has lost its top receiver and its best defensive player. Despite some defensive strength from Johnny Newton, the team struggled defensively last season, giving Michigan a good chance.
Michigan State Michigan is a significant favorite against its in-state rivals, who are undergoing changes with a new coach and a young, inexperienced quarterback.
Oregon Michigan is set to face Oregon, which boasts a strong receiving corps. While the Wolverines have home-field advantage, Oregon’s offensive talent presents a serious challenge.
at Indiana Indiana may improve offensively with the addition of transfer quarterback Kurtis Rourke, but the team remains uncertain under a new coach with many questions yet to be answered.
Northwestern The Wildcats return several key defensive players but still need to establish a stable quarterback, presenting an opportunity for Michigan.
at Ohio State Despite recent successes against Ohio State, Michigan’s chances are diminished this year due to the need to replace key players and the Buckeyes’ retention of important talent and successful transfers. The odds and experts are currently favoring Ohio State in this matchup.
